Bibcode
Laken, B. A.; Kniveton, D. R.; Frogley, M. R.
Bibliographical reference
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions, Volume 10, Issue 8, 2010, pp.18235-18253
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8
2010
Citations
0
Refereed citations
0
Description
The effect of the Galactic Cosmic Ray (GCR) flux on Earth's climate is
highly uncertain. Using a novel sampling approach based around observing
periods of significant cloud changes, a statistically robust
relationship is identified between the rate of GCR flux and the most
rapid mid-latitude (60°-30° N/S) cloud decreases operating over
daily timescales; this signal is verified in surface level air
temperature (SLAT) reanalysis data. A General Circulation Model
experiment is used to test the causal relationship of the observed cloud
changes to the detected SLAT anomalies. Results indicate that the cloud
anomalies were responsible for producing the observed SLAT changes,
implying a link between significant decreases in the rate of GCR flux
(~0.79%/day (relative to the peak-to-peak amplitude of 11-yr solar
cycle)), decreases in cloud cover (~1.9%/day) and increases in SLAT
(~0.05 K/day). The influence of GCRs is clearly distinguishable from
changes in solar irradiance and the interplanetary magnetic field. These
results provide the most compelling evidence presented thus far of a
GCR-climate relationship. From this analysis we conclude: (i) a
GCR-climate relationship is governed by both the rate of GCR flux and
internal precursor conditions; and (ii) it is likely that this natural
forcing has not contributed significantly to recent anthropogenic
temperature rises.